Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 13.137291 15.289785 17.629240 20.353738 23.432104 26.795012 30.739045
2025-11-09 9.242963 12.124536 15.577034 19.983676 25.420422 31.867911 40.047943
2025-11-16 6.915452 10.002711 14.002938 19.488039 26.724149 35.845245 48.097520
2025-11-23 5.269590 8.310790 12.529958 18.680136 27.260568 38.630450 54.622596
2025-11-30 4.520472 7.666689 12.286035 19.363290 29.689141 43.921104 64.667274
2025-12-07 3.942710 7.146898 12.099044 20.030406 32.066314 49.230882 75.030422
2025-12-14 3.250683 6.308188 11.285808 19.618966 32.763511 52.141607 82.140406
2025-12-21 2.675783 5.551879 10.476494 19.077582 33.149297 54.546500 88.586531
2025-12-28 2.445951 5.362385 10.565671 19.968333 35.804477 60.478557 100.576002
2026-01-04 2.207534 5.111562 10.506429 20.583369 38.035668 65.867151 112.016527
2026-01-11 1.929836 4.731346 10.158259 20.644435 39.326725 69.823693 121.420636
2026-01-18 1.705613 4.418850 9.889446 20.804171 40.771987 74.082080 131.494250
2026-01-25 1.444293 3.994868 9.384868 20.545791 41.594314 77.584672 140.931734
2026-02-01 1.203297 3.568757 8.821212 20.125640 42.121772 80.690324 150.031617
2026-02-08 0.995915 3.172451 8.253525 19.618858 42.426275 83.413047 158.636311
2026-02-15 0.803610 2.762481 7.582781 18.804907 42.049143 84.878729 165.136834
2026-02-22 0.734209 2.670581 7.623051 19.491715 44.639270 91.807457 181.505385
2026-03-01 0.671441 2.582134 7.656543 20.162574 47.243099 98.904597 198.526280
2026-03-08 0.563310 2.325118 7.230831 19.748792 47.590630 101.816002 208.169520
2026-03-15 0.466884 2.074892 6.776098 19.204327 47.602642 104.069623 216.702635
2026-03-22 0.438945 2.050987 6.920649 20.100139 50.754743 112.539716 237.140326
2026-03-29 0.403336 1.989416 6.951193 20.718651 53.345592 120.046407 256.110669
2026-04-05 0.354020 1.860473 6.768058 20.780062 54.702012 125.175163 270.805010